As far as who the winner may be between the New York Jets and the Denver Broncos, I have no clue. Flip a coin. All I can say is, this Jets team is beatable.
On defense, NY is in the mid-range of everything, except they do have ten interceptions. Since our quarterback likes to throw to the other team, I’m guessing they will add to that total, the only question is, how many?
New offensive coordinator Bill Musgrave drew up a game plan that was better than we’d seen in a while. It was aimed to take advantage of every weakness Miami has.
Unfortunately, our quarterback was bad; 1.8 QBR bad. Plus, the receivers didn’t help much. Our offensive line often gave quarterback Trevor Siemian time to throw, but the longer the game went on, the more Miami saw there was no deep threat, so they started rushing/blitzing often. 7 vs 5 isn’t going to end well.
It was long odds for Denver to pull off a win: on the road, rainy, new Offensive Coordinator, a quarterback in his third start and first in 11 months. Sadly, it may have been his last.
We’d been told that the new OC would tailor a game plan for the new guy. That would equate to being in the shotgun, lots of passes and some run pass option since the dude can run, drop backs limited to three steps.
What we saw instead was… I don’t know what. The exact opposite, only worse. Ten passes were called even though he needs, needed, every chance he could get. With only three days of practice throwing to the ones since August, you’d think getting the timing down would be a priority. It wasn’t. Plus, there was a right tackle in his second start at that position, against Khalil Mack. There was no run, didn’t even crack 60 yards total.
The series of events that took place before the half pretty sums up the NFL life of Lynch. Missed opportunities, poor timing and bad luck. Despite a high ankle sprain, he threw a deep pass that few can do. It was over the shoulder, had perfect touch and into the bucket of our running back Devontae Booker for a TD.
On review, with only one angle to see and it was fuzzy, the TD is overruled. They decide he’s a 1/2 yard shy. On two plays, our backs couldn’t get anything. Lynch rolls to his left and throws a laser across his body right into TE Virgil Green. The ball bounces off, hits a Raider, bounces off him and drops into another raider as he’s falling down. It was a classic, are you kidding me, Blake unfortunate Bortles, interception. Had Green caught it, TD or had it dropped, we’d have kicked a FG. Continue reading “Review Denver Broncos vs Oakland Raiders – The 2nd Half”→
The 3-7 Denver Broncos travel to Oakland to take on the 4-6 Raiders. Every time I type 3, it hurts.
Oakland’s defense has been bad. We’ll now see if it was lack of talent or lack of coaching. To me, it’s 3/4 talent. I’m going to assume they have been thinking of this switch, but seeing us change quarterbacks and offensive coordinator was their perfect time. Not a lot you can do with three days of practice with a new defensive coordinator, but when your opponent is facing the same thing on offense, what better time?
Head coach Vance Joseph has made it clear he has no belief in quarterback Paxton Lynch, Denver’s first first-round pick who had two starts last season. He’s told the media more than once that the game plan will be simple and for Lynch to run, not stay in the pocket (as if quarterbacks Trevor Siemian and Brock Osweiler were good in it) and basically act like a running back. Joseph is equating Lynch to former quarterback Tim Tebow. I wish he was just pulling a Bill Belichick, but this guy keeps little to his chest.
Based on this, Oakland could underestimate him. The combo of Raiders assistant coach John Pagano not having game film, not knowing if Lynch is as dumb as Joseph portrays him or if new offensive coordinator Bill Musgrave will have him use his cannon arm more than his fast legs, could help Denver.
What the combo of Musgrave and Lynch have going for them is using the RPO because of his legs and arm. The question will be timing. Three days of practice with the ones, former quarterback Peyton Manning would laugh at. Lynch throws the ball quite a bit faster than Siemian and a little more than Osweiler. Four MPH faster rounds off to two yards per second. Plus, Lynch hasn’t thrown to the ones since August and hasn’t had a day of not splitting reps since last December…when he had three days.
On offense, the key for Oakland is to have quarterback Derek Carr pass to receivers who can catch, wear down Denver’s defensive backs and linebackers. Especially if Carr is throwing to tight end Jared Cook. For their defense, show Lynch looks he’s not seen before and hope he throws some interceptions. Our last win was week 4, the only time our quarterbacks didn’t throw a pick; against Oakland.
On offense, the key for Denver is giving Lynch freedom to make plays any way he wants. Use him 180° from Siemian. I hope Billy puts Vance’s remarks and advice in the trash. Musgrave needs to be his cheerleader. Paxton Lynch has taken the biggest beating I’ve ever seen from any fanbase/media group ever, so having just one guy in his corner will be crucial to his confidence.
The defense needs to sack Carr, early and often. Send defensive end Derek Wolfe up the middle. Since Carr injured his back the last time these two teams played, I’m betting he’s got some bats circling the belfry when the defense takes the field. He’ll want to dump the ball quicker than he should and that’ll set up the chance for our defense to get some picks. Jam their receivers at the line. Just that one step, combined with throwing the ball early, should work.
The weather forecast for Oakland has projected rain, giving Denver the edge. Not that Denver gets a whole lot of practice in wet weather, but rain usually means more run. I’ll take our run defense over theirs. When it comes to catching wet footballs, I’d say both teams are equal.
Do you know what happens when you cut corners and deny? You get Denver the last two seasons. It’s a year overdue, but it appears Joe Ellis, John Elway, and Vance Joseph saw a mistake was made, took a deep breath and are undergoing triage on it. More importantly, Broncos Country needs to accept it’s going to be a while before the results are seen.
Changing quarterback isn’t an easy thing. For Denver, going with Trevor Siemian was about far more than skill, it involved money and fear and ego. Former Head Coach and current Senior Personnel Advisor Gary Kubiak wanted his hand selected choice, as did QB Coach Greg Knapp. Elway backed his friend. That set the ball in motion which has lead to now.
When Peyton Manning retired, suites went unsold and Sports Authority Field went under. Result? The Broncos losing money. Because PaxtonLynch was basically red shirted. His experience and knowledge are lacking. How could Denver stop the money bleed by going with a QB the media and fans had decided was garbage?
24, 42, 16, 16, 10 and 0. That’s the combination to a locker full of questions.
It’s dreary outside and I’m sure it’s pretty dreary inside Dove Valley’s front office. After John Elway saw the writing on the wall last season, he burned down the offensive coaching staff.
He brought in a new Head Coach, offensive coordinator and quarterbacks coach. He also hired a special teams and tight end coaches. They brought with them a new scheme that was to be juicy and aggressive and score a lot of points. They brought in a lot of beef to man the offensive line. It was to be a team run from shotgun. We heard that all off season. Shotgun means passing. Hence Rivers being under Center a whole lot more in recent weeks to help their run game.
If you think beating the Giants in Denver is the task, you’d be incorrect. The task is showing that they can play as well in the second half as well as the first. Even if the score is 52-0 at the end of the first half.
Denver is the worst team on third downs in the fourth quarter. How bad? 15% bad. Not only that, the run average and passing completions drop in second halves. Playing with a big lead against the Cowboys may have skewed the numbers a tad, but not that much. Denver has scored once in the 4th and it was a pick six against quarterback Dak Prescott.
Two things are happening. There is a killer mentality missing on offense in the second half of games. When that happens, the defense has to spend more time defending the pass. The offense is dominating the time of possession in first halves. That number drops to only 26 minutes out of a possible 60 in second halves. Split it in half and you have four minutes less than our opponents. Considering all but one turnover has occurred in the second half, you can see why.
Even so, Denver’s defense has done a pretty job. Only four TDs have been allowed in a second half and two were from quarterback Phillip Rivers in week one.
The four interceptions and a fumble lost, all happened in second halves. In their last two games they went from 83% on third downs to 34%. 0 conversions on goal to go.
The 0-5 Giants have a hurt quarterback Eli Manning, are without four starting wide receivers, they have an open gate for an OL and a defense that is ranked in the bottom of the league. They don’t have more than a sliver of a chance of winning. It would take the offense handing them the ball through many mistakes. With New York missing cornerback Dominique Rogers-Cromartie and having to use a previously benched cornerback Eli Apple, yeah….it’s probably not going to happen.
There’s only two ways to have a shot of doing it themselves. First, Manning needs to keep chucking the ball (without any turnovers) and hope a DB slips a couple times to get some scores and secondly, they can generate some kind of pass rush, or at least constant pressure. Also, make quarterback Trevor Siemian throw to the sidelines. Take away his comfort zone which are passes beyond ten yards and the sidelines.
The Giants can’t give up. Be prepared for the offense to come out swinging and put up some points. The second half is when they need to know they have a shot and play like it. In addition, the Giants need to use three tight ends and just dump and go and repeat. Use them for pass protection and as slots. Denver isn’t great against tight ends.
The Broncos need to know that Manning isn’t what he once was, but he’s pretty smart with the ball. All the young defensive backs, Justin Simmons, Will Parks, Brandan Langley and BradleyRoby must mentally be on their toes. No one has been able to run against Denver, so Manning will need an air attack, even if that attack is four yards at a time.
Giants defense have allowed 19, 24, 27, 25, and 27 points in their games. They faced Prescott, and quarterbacks Matthew Stafford, Carson Wentz, Jameis Winston and Rivers. Two running teams and three passing with good QBs. They didn’t play a mile up, though. While first half Siemian could be mentioned with the above group, second half can’t. Fortunately, the second half is when defenses get gassed in Denver.
The key, easier said than done for the Giants, is to keep within a score and harass Siemian. For Denver, the key is to remember Manning is like Rivers. They hang around in games and wait to find your weakness and then they attack it. Making sure the offense shows up in the fourth is how to keep Manning from having time to mount a comeback.
Talk Broncos with Julie on Twitter // @ABroncoNole
After watching the Chiefs and Redskins duel, I decided against what I wanted to write because we’re in a bye now and some changes are needed. Needed quickly. The above match-up felt like what we should’ve seen in Denver. Two bitter rivals ripping each other to shreds, with the quarterbacks leading the charge.
Instead, we saw a lackluster game that was barren of heat or passion. No fights. Only a couple really hard hits (one by safety Jamal Carter). Knock on wood, but our total injuries were a couple sprains. No broken noses, bloody jerseys or pants. This was no WWE Smack Down or Cage Match. It mostly felt like a pillow fight.
I take that back. The Broncos did break quarterback Derek Carr. He joins a growing list of top QBs we have sidelined. Some have yet to completely bounce back. That intensity needs to hit every position group. Not to knock players out, but to be as focused as Von Miller and Derek Wolfe–heat seeking QB misslies.
Believe it or not, I’m super nice to most people and try to do the right thing, which is why I’m glad the Raiders are kind of good again. They let me release my inner she-devil. It’s like The Purge, only twice a year. So what are you hoping happens to Oakland? I’m hoping cornerback Aqib Talib completely neutralizes wide receiver Michael Crabtree so he doesn’t get a single carry.
This is an AFC West division game between two long-time rivals, and both teams are 2-1 with losses last week against teams many thought they should have beaten. This game could have serious implications on any playoff run either franchise hopes to see. I expect it to be nasty and dirty, and reffing could be a factor.